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Red53
789522.3
228823.9
15662.7
Blue38
911413.3
156916.8
855110.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330102040506070805338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.9
17.318.1
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
red by 7.2
1569
#17
16.80.4
11.211.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.0
End2.1
Second
22.30.9
12.713.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 9.0
9114
#43
13.30.4
13.614.0
Auto8.0
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Third
1566
#36
2.71.5
9.911.3
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 7.4
8551
#39
10.20.7
6.97.6
Auto6.6
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed