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Red77
39918.6
603635.8
913811.0
Blue19
97378.3
281311.0
58718.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602702040801007719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.81.4
32.934.4
Auto10.8
Teleop23.7
End1.2
red by 24.8
2813
#30
11.00.8
10.79.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End-0.1
Second
399
#9
18.61.8
9.210.9
Auto6.8
Teleop9.2
End2.5
red by 10.3
9737
#32
8.30.2
8.38.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Third
9138
#19
11.01.4
8.39.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 3.0
5871
#41
8.01.0
8.47.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed