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Red31
259411.5
328812.5
19215.8
Blue50
789522.3
854614.1
281311.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223601030405060703150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#20
15.80.3
5.45.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 6.5
22.31.3
13.614.9
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Second
3288
#14
12.50.3
7.98.2
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
blue by 1.7
8546
#23
14.11.3
8.29.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Third
2594
#25
11.50.3
8.38.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End1.2
red by 0.5
2813
#30
11.01.3
9.210.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed