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Red49
97269.3
548013.0
635819.6
Blue69
546120.0
97378.3
469826.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355302060801001201404969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.5
15.515.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 6.7
26.31.5
21.723.3
Auto11.8
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Second
5480
#31
13.00.5
10.810.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 7.0
5461
#21
20.01.5
19.220.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Third
9726
#40
9.30.5
7.57.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 1.0
9737
#32
8.32.6
4.97.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed