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Red40
593314.3
189119.7
281311.0
Blue57
943811.2
259411.5
228823.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4235102030506070804057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#34
19.70.1
13.213.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 4.2
23.91.6
18.119.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Second
5933
#28
14.30.1
13.413.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
red by 2.9
2594
#25
11.51.6
8.510.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Third
2813
#30
11.00.1
10.510.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End-0.1
blue by 0.2
9438
#12
11.21.6
6.17.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed