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Red60
635819.6
97378.3
324529.5
Blue24
93148.3
548013.0
854614.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552702040801001206024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.6
23.724.3
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End0.7
red by 15.4
8546
#23
14.10.3
9.49.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Second
19.61.0
15.016.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
red by 6.6
5480
#31
13.00.4
10.39.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Third
9737
#32
8.31.0
7.58.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Level
9314
#37
8.30.4
8.17.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed