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Red55
546120.0
904414.1
417514.6
Blue70
603635.8
366911.8
789522.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387102060801001205570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5461
#21
20.01.1
20.721.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 15.8
35.80.6
33.734.3
Auto10.8
Teleop23.7
End1.2
Second
4175
#35
14.61.9
10.011.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 7.7
22.30.6
14.915.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Third
9044
#18
14.11.1
7.38.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 2.3
3669
#22
11.81.1
11.812.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed