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Red56
316615.0
469826.3
97269.3
Blue57
258423.4
913811.0
328812.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464202060801005657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.7
23.323.9
Auto11.8
Teleop10.0
End4.5
red by 2.9
23.41.4
21.623.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Second
3166
#15
15.00.7
11.011.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 2.6
3288
#14
12.51.2
8.29.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Third
9726
#40
9.31.1
7.08.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 1.7
9138
#19
11.01.2
8.810.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed