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Red53
904414.1
789522.3
259411.5
Blue44
635819.6
417514.6
943811.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374020253035455055605344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.9
15.516.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 2.7
19.60.9
16.016.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
9044
#18
14.10.9
8.49.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 0.5
4175
#35
14.60.9
11.912.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Third
2594
#25
11.50.9
10.211.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End1.2
red by 0.2
9438
#12
11.20.6
7.78.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed