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Qual 312024 Idaho Regional
Red21
97269.3
281311.0
366911.8
Blue88
258423.4
790613.4
228823.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306102040801001201402188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#22
11.81.4
12.9→11.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.5
blue by 12.1
2288
#8
23.92.1
19.8→21.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Second
2813
#30
11.00.8
10.4→9.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End-0.1
blue by 12.4
2584
#7
23.42.1
23.0→25.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Third
9726
#40
9.31.4
8.1→6.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 4.2
7906
#27
13.42.1
9.1→11.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed