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Red72
855110.2
324529.5
790613.4
Blue31
548013.0
328812.5
21308.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53290204060801001207231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.8
25.126.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End0.7
red by 16.6
5480
#31
13.00.0
10.310.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Second
7906
#27
13.41.8
12.614.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.2
End2.4
red by 1.0
3288
#14
12.50.0
11.111.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Third
8551
#39
10.23.0
7.210.2
Auto6.6
Teleop2.9
End0.7
red by 2.0
2130
#42
8.20.0
8.08.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed