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Red53
281311.0
904414.1
316615.0
Blue39
58718.0
97269.3
546120.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364402060801005339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3166
#15
15.00.7
11.912.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 4.9
5461
#21
20.00.1
20.820.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Second
9044
#18
14.10.7
10.310.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 4.8
9726
#40
9.30.2
9.18.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
2813
#30
11.00.7
11.011.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End-0.1
red by 3.0
5871
#41
8.00.2
8.88.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed