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Red57
603635.8
19215.8
97378.3
Blue67
943811.2
84620.2
156916.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554002060801005767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.6
34.735.4
Auto10.8
Teleop23.7
End1.2
red by 15.6
846
#13
20.21.6
15.617.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
192
#20
15.80.6
7.07.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 1.0
1569
#17
16.81.6
13.214.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.0
End2.1
Third
9737
#32
8.31.0
5.86.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
blue by 2.9
9438
#12
11.21.6
9.010.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned