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Red61
636422.5
635819.6
789522.3
Blue61
459817.4
212230.1
228823.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69742040601001201406161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#11
22.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 7.6
2122
#10
30.1
Auto8.1
Teleop17.9
End4.1
Second
22.3
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End2.7
blue by 1.7
23.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Third
19.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
red by 2.2
4598
#16
17.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed