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Red34
548013.0
259411.5
340511.4
Blue57
328812.5
39918.6
366911.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344410203040506070803457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5480
#31
13.00.2
10.210.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 5.6
399
#9
18.60.5
17.217.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Second
2594
#25
11.50.1
11.111.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 1.0
3288
#14
12.50.5
11.111.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Third
3405
#24
11.40.1
11.011.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 0.4
3669
#22
11.80.8
10.611.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed