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Red30
366911.8
93148.3
21308.2
Blue77
228823.9
97269.3
19215.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31470204060803077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#22
11.80.4
12.111.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.5
blue by 12.1
23.91.8
23.225.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Second
9314
#37
8.30.4
9.28.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 7.5
192
#20
15.81.8
10.111.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
2130
#42
8.20.4
8.68.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 1.1
9726
#40
9.32.4
7.09.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed