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Red59
789522.3
459817.4
913811.0
Blue45
548013.0
593314.3
883914.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564420801005945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.3
21.021.3
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 7.7
8839
#26
14.60.3
14.514.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Second
4598
#16
17.40.3
17.718.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End2.1
red by 3.1
5933
#28
14.30.3
14.114.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Third
9138
#19
11.00.3
10.611.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 2.0
5480
#31
13.00.3
12.613.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed