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Red56
189119.7
417514.6
316615.0
Blue68
855110.2
636422.5
469826.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44682060801005668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#34
19.70.9
15.015.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 6.6
26.30.3
26.727.0
Auto11.8
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Second
3166
#15
15.00.9
14.215.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 7.5
6364
#11
22.50.3
22.422.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Third
4175
#35
14.61.1
13.814.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 4.4
8551
#39
10.20.3
9.810.2
Auto6.6
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed