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Red48
156916.8
763410.9
97378.3
Blue35
911413.3
546120.0
790613.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34550204060801004835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1569
#17
16.81.0
16.417.4
Auto6.7
Teleop8.0
End2.1
blue by 3.2
5461
#21
20.00.8
19.819.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Second
7634
#29
10.91.0
9.910.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.8
blue by 2.5
7906
#27
13.40.8
14.313.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Third
9737
#32
8.31.2
7.18.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
blue by 5.0
9114
#43
13.30.8
13.112.3
Auto8.0
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed