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Red62
943811.2
324529.5
328812.5
Blue38
366911.8
58718.0
92437.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6524040801001206238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
29.629.8
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End0.7
red by 17.7
3669
#22
11.80.1
11.711.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Second
3288
#14
12.50.2
12.813.0
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
red by 4.5
5871
#41
8.00.1
7.98.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Third
9438
#12
11.20.2
11.611.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End2.6
red by 4.0
9243
#38
7.20.1
7.17.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned