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Red35
84620.2
87565.2
93148.3
Blue41
258423.4
281311.0
340511.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35540204060801003541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#13
20.20.4
19.619.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 3.1
23.40.4
24.023.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Second
9314
#37
8.30.5
8.88.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 3.1
3405
#24
11.40.4
11.811.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
8756
#33
5.20.5
5.75.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 5.8
2813
#30
11.00.4
10.910.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed