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Red64
202215.1
379217.3
809627.0
Blue75
233836.6
47319.4
858125.6
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518002040601001201406475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.8
19.119.9
Auto12.3
Teleop11.1
End3.6
blue by 9.6
36.60.4
34.334.7
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Second
3792
#21
17.30.8
17.117.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.9
blue by 8.3
8581
#12
25.60.5
24.124.6
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Third
2022
#31
15.10.8
13.113.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End1.2
red by 5.7
4731
#42
9.40.5
10.410.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned