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Red72
657415.4
47029.1
812230.2
Blue50
162219.0
96697.9
593428.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576201001502007250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#10
30.21.3
27.428.7
Auto12.6
Teleop14.5
End3.1
red by 1.7
28.50.4
23.923.6
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Second
6574
#18
15.41.3
14.916.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 3.7
1622
#16
19.00.4
23.322.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Third
4702
#49
9.12.2
9.611.8
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End2.0
red by 1.2
9669
#36
7.90.6
8.27.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned