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Red68
11130.3
958517.7
96548.5
Blue82
302322.5
809627.0
593428.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47730204060801001201406882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#7Sur
30.31.1
21.422.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
red by 1.8
28.51.3
23.624.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Second
9585
#35
17.71.9
14.116.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.3
End2.3
blue by 9.3
27.01.3
19.921.2
Auto12.3
Teleop11.1
End3.6
Third
9654
#50
8.51.9
10.412.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 14.0
3023
#24Sur
22.51.4
19.220.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned