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Red32
379217.3
93024.3
888013.2
Blue75
35944.6
409620.7
27257.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597720401001203275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#30
24.31.5
25.023.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.6
End0.2
blue by 20.3
359
#3
44.60.4
43.644.0
Auto15.3
Teleop23.2
End6.2
Second
3792
#21Sur
17.31.5
17.916.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.9
blue by 3.3
4096
#14Sur
20.70.4
16.617.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Third
8880
#13
13.21.5
12.310.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End3.0
red by 5.8
2725
#38
7.30.6
7.37.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed