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Red82
233836.6
958517.7
306714.4
Blue33
640210.7
96697.9
11130.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664302060801001208233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.6
32.734.3
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
red by 6.3
111
#7
30.30.6
22.221.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Second
9585
#35
17.76.2
17.711.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.3
End2.3
red by 7.0
6402
#39
10.70.9
9.99.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Third
3067
#40
14.41.6
14.816.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.1
End0.6
red by 6.5
9669
#36
7.90.3
7.98.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed