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Red80
888013.2
173628.2
809627.0
Blue53
202215.1
93024.3
47319.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53514555606570758053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.22.4
21.223.6
Auto11.9
Teleop15.6
End0.7
red by 3.9
930
#30
24.30.4
24.024.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.6
End0.2
Second
27.02.1
16.919.1
Auto12.3
Teleop11.1
End3.6
red by 11.9
2022
#31
15.10.5
12.613.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Third
8880
#13
13.22.4
9.712.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End3.0
red by 3.8
4731
#42
9.40.5
9.810.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed