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Qual 42024 Midwest Regional
Red56
27257.3
198626.7
46459.1
Blue54
302322.5
19119.7
47029.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50443040605654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#19
26.70.4
28.6→29.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
red by 4.2
3023
#24
22.51.0
16.6→17.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Second
4645
#32
9.10.5
7.4→7.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 10.6
191
#20
19.71.0
15.4→16.5
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End1.3
Third
2725
#38
7.30.7
8.7→9.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End0.2
blue by 1.8
4702
#49
9.11.3
8.3→9.6
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed