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Red122
812230.2
1629.1
233836.6
Blue51
478712.2
178131.6
72379.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10542020608012014016012251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.3
34.737.0
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
red by 5.0
1781
#27
31.60.1
28.328.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
8122
#10
30.22.3
30.332.6
Auto12.6
Teleop14.5
End3.1
red by 18.0
4787
#15
12.20.1
8.68.8
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Third
16
#8
29.12.3
22.624.9
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
red by 19.8
7237
#33
9.30.2
8.38.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed