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Red35
802910.3
858125.6
31104.4
Blue20
306714.4
46459.1
64816.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494502060801003520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8581
#12
25.60.7
24.623.9
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 9.5
648
#26
16.11.5
15.013.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Second
8029
#44
10.30.6
12.411.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 4.1
3067
#40
14.41.4
16.214.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Third
3110
#46
4.41.0
6.95.9
Auto3.0
Teleop0.8
End0.7
blue by 4.7
4645
#32
9.11.4
9.68.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed