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Qual 252024 Midwest Regional
Red54
657415.4
584730.2
162219.0
Blue51
306136.9
198626.7
908213.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6889204060801001201405451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#5
30.21.0
25.5→24.5
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End2.8
blue by 6.7
3061
#23
36.91.8
32.9→31.1
Auto12.2
Teleop23.0
End1.6
Second
1622
#16
19.01.0
22.0→21.0
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.2
blue by 7.6
1986
#19
26.71.8
28.6→26.8
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
6574
#18
15.41.0
16.2→15.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
red by 1.7
9082
#41
13.61.8
16.1→14.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed