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Red71
178131.6
47029.1
582230.8
Blue89
657415.4
11221.8
93024.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706140801001207189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#27
31.60.1
28.428.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 7.3
930
#30
24.31.2
23.524.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.6
End0.2
Second
30.80.1
23.723.8
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End2.5
red by 9.0
112
#28
21.81.2
17.819.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End-0.5
Third
4702
#49
9.10.2
10.410.6
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 6.2
6574
#18
15.41.2
15.216.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed