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Red51
908213.6
47319.4
19119.7
Blue20
31104.4
204012.8
306714.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483802060801005120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#20
19.70.6
16.817.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End1.3
red by 5.3
3067
#40
14.41.0
15.114.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Second
9082
#41
13.60.6
14.314.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End3.1
red by 0.9
2040
#29
12.81.0
14.613.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Third
4731
#42
9.40.6
11.311.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End0.8
red by 5.0
3110
#46
4.41.7
5.94.2
Auto3.0
Teleop0.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed