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Red55
198626.7
756010.0
379217.3
Blue62
1629.1
215110.0
888013.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564802040801001201401605562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#19
26.70.0
25.425.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 2.4
16
#8
29.10.8
25.226.0
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Second
3792
#21
17.30.0
16.916.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 4.2
8880
#13
13.20.8
11.912.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End3.0
Third
7560
#45
10.00.0
7.57.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Level
2151
#43
10.01.4
7.79.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed