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Red75
582230.8
802910.3
93024.3
Blue72
642123.3
202215.1
812230.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67802040601001201401607572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.9
23.824.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End2.5
red by 0.6
8122
#10
30.20.2
32.532.3
Auto12.6
Teleop14.5
End3.1
Second
930
#30
24.30.9
24.625.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.6
End0.2
red by 1.0
6421
#34
23.30.2
23.823.6
Auto10.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
8029
#44
10.30.9
13.714.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2022
#31
15.10.2
14.314.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed