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Qual 412024 Midwest Regional
Red37
96697.9
178131.6
31104.4
Blue69
11221.8
409620.7
17393.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45442030405060703769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#27
31.60.6
28.5→28.0
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 9.7
112
#28
21.80.9
19.0→19.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End-0.5
Second
9669
#36
7.90.9
7.7→6.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 12.8
4096
#14
20.70.9
17.5→18.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Third
3110
#46
4.40.9
4.2→3.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.8
End0.7
red by 0.7
1739
#47
3.71.6
3.4→5.0
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed