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Red32
51256.3
162219.0
204012.8
Blue70
584730.2
809627.0
478712.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416802060801001201403270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#16
19.00.6
21.020.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.2
blue by 11.1
30.20.1
26.426.5
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End2.8
Second
2040
#29
12.80.6
13.512.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 14.3
27.00.1
22.622.7
Auto12.3
Teleop11.1
End3.6
Third
5125
#48
6.30.6
6.25.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
blue by 5.9
4787
#15
12.20.1
9.69.7
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed