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Red88
306136.9
593428.5
47319.4
Blue100
582230.8
642123.3
35944.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510720406010012014088100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#23
36.91.1
33.034.1
Auto12.2
Teleop23.0
End1.6
blue by 7.8
359
#3
44.60.2
45.044.9
Auto15.3
Teleop23.2
End6.2
Second
28.51.1
26.527.6
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
blue by 2.3
30.80.2
24.624.5
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End2.5
Third
4731
#42
9.41.1
11.812.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 13.9
6421
#34
23.30.2
23.623.5
Auto10.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned