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Red61
858125.6
11130.3
17393.7
Blue22
47029.1
72379.3
802910.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6337020801006122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#7
30.30.5
25.125.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
red by 20.0
8029
#44
10.31.0
14.613.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
Second
8581
#12
25.60.5
23.924.4
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 16.3
7237
#33
9.31.6
11.69.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End2.3
Third
1739
#47
3.70.8
5.05.8
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End0.1
blue by 5.4
4702
#49
9.11.6
10.68.9
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed