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Red63
27257.3
202215.1
584730.2
Blue62
96697.9
812230.2
11221.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5267204060801006362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.6
26.527.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End2.8
Level
8122
#10
30.20.2
32.332.5
Auto12.6
Teleop14.5
End3.1
Second
2022
#31
15.10.6
14.014.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End1.2
blue by 6.8
112
#28
21.80.2
19.920.1
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End-0.5
Third
2725
#38
7.31.0
8.59.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End0.2
blue by 0.6
9669
#36
7.90.3
6.77.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed