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Red69
958517.7
198626.7
51256.3
Blue67
178131.6
238325.9
908213.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477902040601001201406967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#19
26.71.5
25.426.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 4.9
1781
#27
31.60.0
28.027.9
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
9585
#35
17.72.5
15.618.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.3
End2.3
blue by 8.2
2383
#11
25.90.0
24.824.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Third
5125
#48
6.31.5
5.67.1
Auto1.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
blue by 7.3
9082
#41
13.60.0
14.914.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned