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Qual 532024 Midwest Regional
Red55
478712.2
11130.3
27257.3
Blue34
47319.4
657415.4
238325.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47632040801005534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#7
30.30.7
25.6→26.2
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
red by 4.3
2383
#11
25.91.7
24.7→23.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Second
4787
#15
12.20.7
9.7→10.4
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 3.1
6574
#18
15.41.7
17.4→15.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Third
2725
#38
7.31.1
9.5→10.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End0.2
blue by 2.1
4731
#42
9.41.7
12.9→11.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed