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Red26
204012.8
93024.3
96697.9
Blue109
306136.9
238325.9
1629.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4210305015026109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#30
24.31.3
23.822.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.6
End0.2
blue by 12.6
3061
#23
36.91.6
35.637.2
Auto12.2
Teleop23.0
End1.6
Second
2040
#29
12.81.3
13.512.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 16.3
16
#8
29.11.6
27.028.6
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Third
9669
#36
7.92.0
7.95.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 18.0
2383
#11
25.91.6
23.024.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed