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Red60
409620.7
478712.2
202215.1
Blue53
96548.5
593428.5
215110.0
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45510204060801006053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#14
20.70.2
17.818.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 7.8
28.50.4
27.828.1
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Second
2022
#31
15.10.2
13.413.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End1.2
red by 5.1
2151
#43
10.00.6
9.510.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Third
4787
#15
12.20.2
10.410.6
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End2.2
red by 3.8
9654
#50
8.50.6
8.38.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed