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Red64
809627.0
46459.1
812230.2
Blue57
17393.7
642123.3
198626.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726030405080901001106457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#10
30.20.0
32.532.5
Auto12.6
Teleop14.5
End3.1
red by 3.6
1986
#19
26.70.6
26.926.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Second
27.00.0
23.523.5
Auto12.3
Teleop11.1
End3.6
red by 3.7
6421
#34
23.30.6
23.522.8
Auto10.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
4645
#32
9.10.0
8.18.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
red by 5.4
1739
#47
3.71.0
5.84.7
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned