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Red98
582230.8
64816.1
584730.2
Blue56
940627.6
640210.7
379217.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74562040801001209856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.9
24.526.4
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End2.5
red by 3.2
9406
#17
27.60.2
25.425.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Second
30.21.9
27.128.9
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End2.8
red by 12.8
3792
#21
17.30.2
16.817.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Third
648
#26
16.11.9
13.515.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.3
red by 5.4
6402
#39
10.70.4
10.310.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed