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Red42
31104.4
888013.2
11221.8
Blue57
72379.3
233836.6
162219.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348202040601001204257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112
#28
21.80.1
20.120.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End-0.5
blue by 14.7
36.60.8
38.637.8
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Second
8880
#13
13.20.1
13.213.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 5.9
1622
#16
19.00.8
20.219.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Third
3110
#46
4.40.1
3.02.8
Auto3.0
Teleop0.8
End0.7
blue by 4.9
7237
#33
9.31.3
9.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsEarned