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Red47
908213.6
51256.3
93024.3
Blue54
207711.4
96697.9
465519.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543902060804754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#30
24.31.0
24.823.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.6
End0.2
red by 5.2
4655
#22
19.10.5
20.621.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.2
Second
9082
#41
13.61.0
14.913.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End3.1
red by 2.2
2077
#37
11.40.5
9.39.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Third
5125
#48
6.31.0
7.16.1
Auto1.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
blue by 1.6
9669
#36
7.90.8
7.17.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned