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Red52
17393.7
35944.6
47029.1
Blue61
51256.3
64816.1
233836.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656650607080905261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
44.60.5
45.845.2
Auto15.3
Teleop23.2
End6.2
red by 8.1
36.60.1
37.837.9
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Second
4702
#49
9.10.9
9.28.4
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 7.0
648
#26
16.10.1
15.315.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Third
1739
#47
3.70.8
4.73.9
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End0.1
blue by 2.6
5125
#48
6.30.1
6.16.2
Auto1.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed