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Red58
1629.1
17393.7
204012.8
Blue98
584730.2
888013.2
858125.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4483020601001201405898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#8
29.10.2
28.628.8
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
blue by 1.1
30.20.2
30.130.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End2.8
Second
2040
#29
12.80.2
12.212.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 12.9
8581
#12
25.60.2
27.026.8
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Third
1739
#47
3.70.3
3.94.3
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End0.1
blue by 9.4
8880
#13
13.20.2
13.513.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned